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The Limits of Science:
"Our goal as teachers and educators should be to expose our
students to the discovery process and to excite them about the challenges at the
frontiers of knowledge. We should try to make students understand . . . why a
scientist can never be sure that he or she has the final answer to anything." Bruce Alberts, President, National Academy of Sciences,
2005 The last sentence is worth repeating;
"We should try to make students understand . . .
why a scientist can never be sure that he or she has the final answer to
anything."
(Our highlights.) Mr. Alberts clearly has an understanding
of the limits of the science method.
Science method limits.
The statements by Mr. Alberts are certainly true and profound. The general public, as well as even many scientists, give science far
more credit than it deserves for being able to answer basic questions; namely the
deep
"why" questions in an
objective way. Science can,
for example,
find the chemical trails made by ants and determine that those trails are a
small element in the understanding of ant behavior, but at a deep level cannot tell us "why"
ant colonies are organized as efficiently as they are nor how such complex
behaviors come about from such simple entities (saying that it just emerges, is
really just an admission of ignorance.)
It is not that physics and science in general cannot inform use to
a large degree about
the relationships at work in complex situations, but this does mean that science
can provide a complete description or full explanation of complex relationships
to an unlimited degree. There is no scientific principle which says or
even suggests that science actually has unlimited explanatory power.
There are in fact many limits (in the real world of hard facts laboratory
science) as to what science can teach us.
Overview of
science limits and realities:
1) Science is about relationships of
physical entities (matter/fields), not
absolutes. Einstein's theories are about "relativity" because relativity
is fundamental to all basic science.
2) Science relies on models which are only
approximations of reality. No mathematical model of reality can ever be
shown to be absolute valid in all possible situations.
Randomness in
Arithmetic and the Decline & Fall of Reductionism in Pure Mathematics.
3) Science can never show that a theory
will not eventually be shown to be incorrect or even known that it will not be
proven to be incorrect by the next new form of test of the theory.
Theories are inherently only a limited approximation to the truth and
limited in validity in some way
and possibly fundamentally in error in philosophy.
4) Science is never objective in
the interpretations of what the laws tell us about deep reality. Beyond
mathematics, interpretations (word generalizations) of the laws of physics are
always subjective.
5) Relatively simple experiments (compared
to the incredible complexity of most of reality) are required to allow
simplified mathematical analysis of the data. Such simple experiments are
limited in what they can tell us.
6) Science is also generally limited to the
simplest situations because of limits of reductionism (the assumption that the
whole is simply the sum of the parts.)
What is
Occam's Razor?
7) All science involves faith and
assumptions. At the very least, the scientist must have faith in previous
science experiments on which their experiments and theory rely. If the
previous experiment the new experiment is dependent on is flawed, that may
invalidate the results of the new experiment. The
scientists also must always make assumptions which if true allow an experiment
to describe a larger reality (less simple situations).
Here is a link to an article on science assumptions.
Link here to our essay on science assumptions.
8) All science involves
uncertainties. At the level of the most basic physical law of the universe
is quantum mechanics. Quantum mechanics only allows calculations of the
probabilities of various possible outcomes but usually not certainty.
Quantum mechanics underlies and underpins all other science.
Physics is the deepest science and yet physics is about simple
things or situations. (Certainly, physics cannot tell us much about ant hives.) Einstein did say;
As we will
discuss later herein, however, Einstein was only talking about the theories of
physics (the underlying simple conceptual models/ideas.) He was not talking about complex
systems which, of course, depend on the laws of physics but which are beyond the
simple form explanations of physics. Einstein was talking about the theoretical
concepts which lead to the simple mathematical laws of relationships between
various forms of energy and matter. He probably just wanted to make the
point that any physical theory should be basically understandable by laypersons.
In any case, saying that physics underpins all of reality also does not answer
the deep "why" questions.
What science tells us in fact depends on what questions the
experiments asks. Noted physicists Werner Heisenberg once said;
"Natural science
does not simply describe and explain nature and ourselves; it describes nature
as exposed to our method of questioning."
This is a very profound
statement. When we ask dogmatic questions based on preconceived ideas, we simply get answers as to how
reality/nature views that dogma. We do not necessarily
and often, in fact, get a true unbiased picture of
nature viewed with an open mind or what the view would be with some significantly different science
experiment.
Physicists Ernst Mach once said; "Physical science does not
pretend to be a complete view of the world; it simply claims that it is working
toward such a complete view in the future." We will argue herein that that
"future" will always be beyond our reach.
Stephen Hawkings, one of the top physicists in the world
has written an essay entitled;
"Gödel and the end of
physics" (Gödel was a noted mathematician who proved that even simple
mathematical systems are limited in what they can tell us. Also do not
be misled by the spelling errors in his essay, Mr. Hawkings has Lou
Gherig's disease and cannot even speak anymore and the errors are not a
reflection of the still brilliant mind he has.)
Gödel proved that even in
simple mathematical logic systems there are profound limits as to what can be
proven. Gödel proved that certain truths are inherently unverifiable.
This is true in both mathematics and in physical science as well.
Certain truths will always be beyond science.
Not only are certain truths unverifiable, but certain modes of
reasoning/thinking actually can even hide the truth from being recognized. Historically famous
mathematician
Henri Poincare once said; "It is not sufficient
for a theory to affirm no false relations, it
must not hide true relations."
(It may be that the biological dogmas and even fundamental physics theories are in fact hiding some deeper truths from
being found at all.)
Inherent Limits of Reason & Science.
Simply stated, if the "science" cannot be done in a laboratory
in a repeatable way, then what is said to be "science" may in fact be mostly if
not all opinion and interpretation of science facts and not science itself. The
way of thinking proposed by some science theories may actually direct us away
from the truth.
Link here to another
site on the limits of science. Science opinions
and interpretations (such as those in this site) are not science fact but
essentially philosophy.
Science is also not usually effective for telling us why
things occur, this is true even when science can give us a formula to predict what will
happen in certain interactions. A formula which describes a relationship
does not tell us why that relationship exists. Science supposed
answers to "why" questions usually just lead one to another level of questions
which just raise more unknown "why"s.
We should not be misled just because science has
a descriptive term for some phenomena or even a mathematical formula to describe some phenomena.
Science terms such as centrifugal force do not provide an explanation of why centrifugal force occurs,
but only provide a formula for quantifying the effect. As a simple example of this;
science cannot tell us in the most basic terms "why" when we spin a container of liquid (even at a
constant rate), the liquid will go up the sides of the container. Science
can give you a formula which tells how high up the sides the liquid will go, but
science cannot explain why it basically happens.
This is a very simple situation and yet science cannot truly
explain it but can only describe what will happen if we run a certain
experiment with a bucket of water or some other liquid. You could run a bucket
of water experiment at home and see for yourself one very simple case of where
science only really describes what happens and not why it happens.
Click here for a more
technical discussion of centrifugal force.
Spinning a bucket of water about the circular axis of the bucket,
it is easily observed that the
water rises up
the sides of the spinning bucket. As simple as this is, it is
not at all deeply understood by science why this happens.
(A mathematical formula is a characterization and not a "why" explanation.)
The
mathematics to describe what will happen to the fluid in a spinning bucket are very simple, but at a deep level, the "why" this
happens is not
understood. (There are some ideas about the water "sensing that it is
moving relative to the rest of the matter in the universe, but that just raises
even deeper questions. The essential question is;
how does the water know
that it is spinning. It is spinning relative to what, and how does it
interact with whatever it is spinning relative to?) How could water
sense what it is doing relative to the rest of the universe?
The Life of the
Cosmos, see chapter 17, starting in the second paragraph.
Science "explanations" will talk about centrifugal force,
the balance of forces, and the conservation
of energy, but in the end, the science arguments can be circular to cover up the
basic lack of understanding of even such a simple experiment. The spinning
bucket of water
experiment is not alone in having baffled science for a long time. (Think
about it again. The
attempts at why explanations in this example wind up talking about something
like
connections between the liquid and all the objects and energy in the entire universe,
but this is essentially just weaving words around fundamental ignorance.)
(We recommend the book;
Schrödinger's Kittens and
the Search for Reality by J. Gribben Ph.D.
Astrophysics (his book is worth reading on
many levels. The author discusses the spinning bucket of liquid starting on page 175.)
"A second simple
example is that science tells us that an object in motion will continue in
motion absent some type of force on it; however,
Einstein's special relativity
says all motion is relative, so how does the object in motion know what motion it is to
maintain if there is no absolute velocity but only relative velocity. If
the motion is relative to the rest of the universe, how does the object sense
that motion? How does an inert mass "know" how it is to respond to a
force? Why is the mass which determines force response exactly the same
mass that determines gravitational effects?"
Science cannot
answer those questions at more than a very superficial/operational level.
We also recommend the book;
"The Ascent
of Science" by B. Silver
Professor of Physical
Chemistry, (although we disagree with the conclusions in the
section on evolution.) It is interesting to note that the Professor in the first
page of the introduction raises a point that will startle anyone who thinks that
science has absolute answers. He points out that
science does not even fundamentally really know what "matter" (material)
is. Professor Silver says; "A particle physicist might tell you that
matter is a
"bunching up of a field," but if we are honest we have to admit that
"matter" is little more than one of the concepts that allows us to
deal with what our senses report of what we call the external world."
(We would note that
science cannot really tell us what a field is either
beyond an operational mathematical description.
So "bunching up of a field" doesn't tell us much.)
The
Wave Nature of Matter.
"Integrative Science”:
The Death-Knell of Scientific Materialism?
Science simply
uses the term "field" as a convenient way to talk about something for which it
again only has an operational description but not a deep fundamental
description.
Even the vacuum of space is known not to be just a void. It is known
to be seething with potential energy. The question is; what is it that is
seething with energy? There is no "matter" there by definition
in a pure vacuum, but even a pure vacuum contains energy (now believed to be
mathematically described at least in part by the "cosmological constant" in Einstein's general
relativity equations.)
The limits of science are, in a number of ways, very basic.
Most of the limits of science are obvious without deep reasoning, such as dependence of the existing
state of scientific knowledge on faith in the truth of previous science facts
(and dogma) to begin with, the limits of physical testing in complex situations, the limits of the human
intellect, and human bias in reporting the results of tests. Some
limits such as those below are not as immediately obvious but fairly easily
understood once they are brought up.
Confronting
Science's Logical Limits.
Looking in more detail at the above listed realities of science;
First of all, experiments always are about the relationship of some
physical condition relative to some other physical condition.
Science is
essentially only about relationships between various entities in the universe
which can be measured. An example of this would be "how does light
behaves in relationship to a slit through which it passes." The
relationship is between light and the physical slit which effects light passing
through it. Another example would be "how does light interact with
matter when it collides with matter?" There must always be a way to
make a measurement and that always involves an interaction. One cannot run
an experiment, for example, to determine what happens to light when it is left
alone. An experiment can make limited inferences about what happens by making
measurements "before" and "after". By definition,
however, without a measurement, there would be no data to analyze. Without
data, there is no hard science, there is only philosophy and indeterminate uncertainty.
Secondly, science can generally only provide the results of
laboratory experiments and provide possible explanations as to how the results relate to some theory or model of reality.
The experiments may rule out some model as being incorrect but never will prove
with any certainty that the model/theory postulated as true is absolutely correct and will not be
found to be wrong in the next experiment under significantly different
conditions. A series of experiments can give virtual assurance that the
model is usable over a range of conditions but, again, will
never prove,
even in principle that if the
conditions are very different that the model/theory will still be correct.
Thirdly, science always involves some physical experimental
setup. In the case of light going thru a slit, there is always a physical
object with a slit in it and some way to detect light after it goes thru the
slit. The physical setup defines and at the same time limits what can be
learned/known from the experiment.
Fourth, science is limited to very simple experiments where
the relationships can be handled by the mathematics available at the time.
Science is also limited and bounded by assumptions of linearity and
reductionism. The two facts mean that science is limited in the range over
which an experiment can be extrapolated to other situations and also is limited
as to what can be understood by taking something apart and testing the pieces to
understand the "whole which existed before it was taken apart",
respectively.
Science is not some profound nor unlimited source of
knowledge to an unlimited depth of understanding.
Science cannot provide all the answers.
There are good reasons; "Why so many scientists believe in God."
They are usually the ones who have come to understand deeply the limits of
science.
Cosmos
Bios and Theos
which questions
60 leading scientists including 20
Nobel prize winners;
in the interview
with
Sir John Eccles, Nobel Prize winner with a Ph.D. in
natural sciences, when questioned if he believed in a divine Creation
said: “Yes I do.
I have said that several times in my books.
And this is a creation. You
have to think of it as not just by a Creator who tosses off souls one after
another. This
is a loving Creator giving us all these wonderful gifts.”
From the same book:
Interview with Professor Wolfgang Smith, Ph.D. in mathematics:
“nothing is more evident, more certain , than the existence or reality of
God”.
Again, these statements are not science and certainly not
directly related to any proof of God. The
statements just show that a number of highly trained leading scientists do
believe in God.
Besides the limits on actual science experiments, there is a
limit as to what the experimenter as a person can ever understand which limits the
complexity of experiments which are even meaningful to perform. With
simple and understandable experiments, science may as a result be providing a misleading
picture of what happens in the much more complicated real world/life
situations.
Not generally known is that there is a fundamental limit to
what any human being can ever know because of the limits of the human brain,
if we assume that the brain actually functions like an algorithmic computer and
is itself simple enough to be understandable by science. This assumption is
actually open to serious question, but if the brain
does actually work like a computer with a program, then we (humanity) have some very fundamental limits in understanding
very complex sets or systems of knowledge. Our simplifying models of
reality may be all
that can be simply understood to a high degree of probability.
The following paragraph gets somewhat complex for non
mathematicians but needs to be included to make the point of this essay.
Our interpretation of this excerpt from a book will follow in the next paragraph in hopefully simpler
terms.
In his book
"Complexification", John L. Casti
(Ph.D. in mathematics) says on page 146 (referring to the work of another well
known mathematician by the name of
Chaitin; "It's thought provoking
to consider the degree to which Chaitin's result imposes limitations on our
knowledge of the world."
"Chaitin showed that it is impossible to prove whether or
not a particular number is random, whether a compression is the most
concise---it is always possible that there is more order than can be squeezed
out." This is a very profound
finding and means that we can never prove that any information set is strictly
random. This would include the information set which evolutionary survival
of the fittest selects from. All such theories are inherently incomplete.
On the Inherent
Incompleteness of Scientific Theories.
Casti continues referring also to another
well known mathematician by the name of Rudy Rucker (don't worry for the moment
about the mathematical language; "Rudy Rucker has made the following
estimate: suppose K represents our best present day knowledge, while C denotes a
universal Turing machine whose reasoning powers equal those of the smartest and
cleverest of human beings. (A Turing machine is essentially a computer.) "Rucker then estimates the
maximum complexity number "t" in Chaitin's Theorem to be;
t = complexity K + complexity C + 1 billion.
What all this means is that if this formula is correct, whenever any
physical or non physical information system exceeds a complexity number of about 3 billion
(complexity number), there will be
no possibility of a human coming up with a short and reasonable simple/full explanation/understanding of it.
This does not mean that science truths in complex subjects such
as the structures of living entities cannot basically be
understood, but simply stated; complex science interactions can
reach a level where there is no possibility that it can be completely understood by
any human being.
The key is the word completely, and we would submit that the complexities of life are at that level.
As Casti summarizes it in his book: "Chaitin's work says that
our
scientific theories are basically powerless to say anything about phenomena
whose complexity is much greater than about 3 billion.
Casti further says; "there is a forever unbridgeable gap between what's
true and what can be proved."
While the assumption that the brain functions like a computer is,
we believe, very
much open to question,
it is not unreasonable to believe that the human brain still has some limit in
any case as
to the level of complexity which can be truly understood. This limits
science as do other factors of logic such as the theorem of mathematician
Kurt
Gödel.
Gödel essentially proved that
even very simple systems of logic have very
profound limits. Even simple mathematics (the science/logic of numbers) has its limits.
It is essentially a fact that the goal of physics to fully understand
reality will probably never be reached. This is especially true since physics is mostly based on
mathematics.
It is also not difficult to envision that some things of great complexity (like the
earths environmental systems in total) may never be adequately understood, let
alone fully understood. Environmental interactions not even adequately understood
will prevent making reliable environmental impact predictions.
The fears of global warming are real and very serious
even if the effect is small because of the possibility
that a
small change produced in the atmosphere by societies could produce large and
catastrophic warming and/or rebound cooling effects are totally beyond the power of any human
mind to ever predict such significantly in advance of the occurrence.
None of the above facts are
to say that Einstein was wrong when he said; ""All physical theories... ought to
lend themselves to so simple a description that even a child could understand
them." He was talking about the underlying
concepts of physics which could be simple to understand
as contrasted to the complex systems which exist in life and in other complex
systems such as global weather. Science understands in basic
principles how the global weather works, that does not mean, however, that there
is any complete understanding. Without a complete understanding, no
precise prediction of the effects of global warming are even theoretically possible.
Add to the above the fact that science has all the human failings
contaminating it as much as other disciplines.
Scientists are human and prone to mistakes.
Many
teachers
use books loaded with errors and don't know the difference. There is
also
science
fraud. There are also
science community
political structures.
The politics of science and
the monetary interests far to often turn science away from the search for
anything like objective truth.
Science can also reach some extremely improbable conclusions
if one assumes that there is no "design" in the universe (we do not make such an
assumption.)
Physics calculations now seem to indicate that when the universe was created,
the amount of matter created in the big bang would have had to be exact relative
to the amount of energy in the vacuum of space to 1 part in 10 followed by 100
zeros to get the universe we see today. (Ref. Scientific American Jan 2001
page 49.) If even remotely correct, this calculation alone makes the universe
improbable from chance to an incredible degree based on materialistic science
alone.
Sadly, all these limits together with human failings means
that it may be inevitable that some day science will reach a
point where it has the knowledge and power to do irreparable harm.
If science does not face up to its
profound fundamental limits and its inherent human failings, or if it is not
reigned in by the voting public, it is
almost certainly only a matter
of time before unbridled science produces some form of major catastrophe.
Human Nature and the Limits of Science.
The primary hope in preventing science
catastrophes is for the
voting public to be educated and informed and to in turn inform and guide the
government which at least has the power, if not the will, to control dangerous
science.
We strongly recommend reading the
book; "A Different Universe, Reinventing Physics
From The Bottom Down, by R. Laughlin, Nobel Prize physicist.
Mr. Laughlin's book is enjoyable, very easy to read and loaded with astounding
and
profound comments on science realities and limits.
The
Outer Limits: In Search of the “Unknowable” in Science
Grappling
With Science's Limits.
The limits of reductionism.
The Case Against Naturalism in Science.
(Against extreme and overstated naturalism is
the subject.)
Can Science explain
Everything?
Certainty and Uncertainty
The Limits To Science
The Problem of
Induction
Karl Popper's
Falsification Principle
The Limits
of Mathematics
Error and the
Nature of Science
Re-examining the Givens: Testing Our Theories of the World.
Philosophy of
Science
Scientific Apologetics
The dangers of science without religion.
Science
Frontiers; The Unusual & Unexplained
The
Cosmic Ray Paradox Reality exceeds a perceived
limit of the science model.
Questions
science will probably never answer.
Ten Myths about Science.
Science Myths" in K-6 Textbooks and Popular culture
Open
questions in Physics
A New Form
of Matter
Limits
of Natural Selection, a Reason to Teach All Theories.
Impossibility : The Limits of Science and the Science of Limits
Fallibilism is the
epistemological thesis that no belief (theory, view, thesis, and so on) can ever
be rationally supported or justified in a conclusive way.
(We would add that faith at some level is always required.)
Why science
does not always have the right answer.
The One True Platonic Heaven: A Scientific Fiction on The Limits of Knowledge
which illuminates the limits of science.
More
public input means better science
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